vay01

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02
Potential profit: $5.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?