Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $198.36
- Potential payout
- $339.08
- Potential profit
- $140.72
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Polymarket Trader
0xD4b87375a3B916D7E5CA4428BAabecAdb9047bF1-1775512709716
@juanpdesantis
0xd4b87375a3b916d7e5ca4428baabecadb9047bf1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.89K
- Realized PnL
- $509.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $221.67
- Potential payout
- $224.71
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $194.51
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $25.27
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $204.99
- Potential payout
- $211.98
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.99
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $204.86
- Potential payout
- $207.34
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $182.85
- Potential payout
- $188.5
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $93.18
- Potential payout
- $164.96
- Potential profit
- $71.77
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $132.95
- Potential payout
- $150.4
- Potential profit
- $17.45
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $140.71
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $120.52
- Potential payout
- $121.92
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.52
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $105.99
- Potential payout
- $117.11
- Potential profit
- $11.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $98.28
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $100.28
- Potential payout
- $111.73
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $103.88
- Potential payout
- $111.1
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $103.13
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $98.26
- Potential payout
- $109.78
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $100.48
- Potential payout
- $106.61
- Potential profit
- $6.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $98.08
- Potential payout
- $105.92
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $103.37
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.57
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $84.66
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $17.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $95.9
- Potential payout
- $99.95
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.94
Yes position
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $79.62
- Potential payout
- $96.51
- Potential profit
- $16.89
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $79.19
- Potential payout
- $93.72
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $85.63
- Potential payout
- $93.59
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.64
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.05
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.28
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Y
Yes position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $15.13
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?No 94.4% 105.92 shares
- Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?No 64% 107.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp 60% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 65% 15.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 59% 16.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 93.9% 106.53 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 95.3% 860.44 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No 91.1% 109.78 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 93% 26.88 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes 88% 944.03 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 91% 219.78 shares