Polymarket Trader

0xD4Df084594A846292D94688c228D3013aD7E2f60-1768813999688

0xd4df084594a846292d94688c228d3013ad7e2f60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.18
Realized PnL: $7.51
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $62.87
Potential profit: $58.69
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$2

Dimitrov position

Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machac

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Ruud position

Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Ruzic position

Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzic

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Duckworth position

Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmic

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 9% 31.5 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 14% 31.5 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 12% 9.52 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Trump out as President by March 31?

Yes 2.8% 71.43 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 48% 12.4 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 0.4% 500 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 47% 5 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 0.4% 500 shares
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?

Yes 5.6% 28 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 0.3% 333.33 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 46% 3 shares