Polymarket Trader

betonbasket

0xd4e7e5c056f6bb8cd1214ede47e76391a485b0f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.14K
Realized PnL: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.8%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $571.48
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $754.81

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$827.51

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$81.69

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$70.15

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.4%
Current value: $910.33
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $251.54
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$58.67

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $177.49
Potential payout: $986.06
Potential profit: $808.57
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$111.67

No position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $983.92
Potential profit: $983.92
User PnL: -$22.3

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $344.49
Potential payout: $943.82
Potential profit: $599.33
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $83.24

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.93
Potential profit: $885.93
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.14
Potential profit: $857.14
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $641.03
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.96
Potential profit: $127.96
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$4.2

Zalgiris Kaunas position

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Zalgiris Kaunas

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$34.75

Yes position

Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.5
Potential profit: $71.5
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.68
Potential profit: $70.68
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13.5

No position

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $47.46
Potential profit: $34.41
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$14.95

No position

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.92

No position

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.44

Olympiacos B.C. position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238

No position

Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.15

No position

Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.44

No position

Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.08

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.17

No position

Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.48

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Spurs position

Hawks vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.43

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

No position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Magic position

Magic vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.56

No position

Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.57

Suns position

Timberwolves vs. Suns

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 67% 17 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 62% 13 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 62% 13 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 61% 1,311.48 shares
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78% 641.03 shares
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41.4% 2,263.29 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 450 shares
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 2.6% 326.92 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 29% 321 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 27% 150 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 29% 33.23 shares
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 2.1% 252.38 shares