Polymarket Trader

0xd50508edCC8c187B9227005621f8e6d164b0437B-1777251367094

0xd50508edcc8c187b9227005621f8e6d164b0437b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.35
Realized PnL: -$11.5
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $27.13
Potential payout: $61.67
Potential profit: $34.54
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $12.13

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $6.91
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 72.4% 6.91 shares
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes 81% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 56% 1.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Up 99% 5.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Up 94% 5.32 shares
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Yes 0.4% 1,181.6 shares
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Yes 0.3% 1,745.03 shares
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 24.3% 61.67 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 92% 5.43 shares
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Yes 89.7% 3.33 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 63% 15.87 shares