Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
gaiusmarius
0xd51d042becc784034642a510b7fa7d721a327fc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.55
- Realized PnL
- $13.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $79.55
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $39.55
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.51
- Potential profit
- $29.51
- User PnL
- -$20.66
Yes position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?Up 70% 29.51 shares
- Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes 34.7% 20.66 shares
- Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?Yes 60% 16.67 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?Yes 4.3% 232.56 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 44% 90.91 shares