Polymarket Trader

Macaquinhus

0xd51dbb6d86a9cc478b460102da71861986a81578

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $427.17
Realized PnL: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.3
Potential profit: $298.3
User PnL: -$23.5

No position

Will Nuno Mendes be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.34
Potential profit: $273.34
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $69.43
Potential payout: $219.7
Potential profit: $150.28
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: $62.34

No position

Will 0 weightlifting world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$58

Yes position

Will 1+ weightlifting world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Drake release a surprise album?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Rúben Dias be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.53
Potential profit: $143.53
User PnL: -$3.79

No position

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $128.71
Potential payout: $130.41
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $120.5
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $11.13

No position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.6
Potential profit: $100.6
User PnL: -$38.23

Yes position

Will Benfica win Primeira Liga?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10.12

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,300 and $7,400 on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $82
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,400 and $7,500 on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $80.18
Potential payout: $82.19
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $80.09
Potential profit: $78.45
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.7
Potential profit: $61.7
User PnL: -$22.03

No position

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $43.46
Potential payout: $60.79
Potential profit: $17.33
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $8.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.71

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.63

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.6

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.6

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.38

Yes position

Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by April 17, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.2

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.28

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.98

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.3

No position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.27

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.83

Yes position

Will Porto win Primeira Liga?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.82

No position

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.09

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.6

No position

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.29

Yes position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.8% 82.19 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 33% 20 shares
Will Iran record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 201.2 shares
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 74% 21.88 shares
Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

No 93% 6.36 shares
Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

No 89.4% 13.21 shares
Will Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 397.1 shares
Will South Korea be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

No 85% 16 shares
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

No 98.7% 100 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 70% 50 shares
Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Portugal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 37.09 shares