Polymarket Trader

michaelB

0xd53b2cd1f1b681de5160f43d02a6df508906fc94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $4.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $919.99
Potential profit: $919.99
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590
Potential profit: $590
User PnL: $0

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $499.97
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $397.24
Potential profit: $397.24
User PnL: -$162.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.62
Potential profit: $347.62
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$18

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.72
Potential profit: $243.72
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Under position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: $0

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$66.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.3
Potential profit: $147.3
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.36
Potential profit: $132.36
User PnL: -$7.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.84
Potential profit: $117.84
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $0

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Under position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $0

Canadiens position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: $0

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.07
Potential profit: $84.07
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.59

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.74

No position

Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.23

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $265.42

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.13

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.04

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.4

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Raiders

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.13

Send Help position

Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.09

Yes position

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.83

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.86

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.7

No position

Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.27

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.9

Senators position

Rangers vs. Senators

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.11

Yes position

Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12?

No 58.2% 137.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 10?

Yes 12.4% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?

No 59.4% 117.84 shares
1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)

Knicks 49% 75.51 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 48% 10.42 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 49% 10.2 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Down 24% 20.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?

No 4% 299.94 shares
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Knicks 29% 50 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 50% 8.54 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 65% 7.69 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 48% 10.42 shares