Yes position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.3%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $8.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.77K
- Multiplier
- 3.53x
- User PnL
- -$150.06
Polymarket Trader
0x8973b817F9b946b8C9D5a328e347eD1629B6dA21
0xd54d374fe05e4d79ea6250cfe80696add6ae1adc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.52K
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $89.98
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$164.82
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $146.14
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$78.82
Yes position
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
Ends Dec 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.6
- Potential profit
- $274.6
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.29
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.86
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.43
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90
Republican position
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.58
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104.48
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$189.88
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$883.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 13% 2,714.12 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 14% 338.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 50% 680.48 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 23% 385.13 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 24% 347.12 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 2,319.52 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 21.2% 1,248.1 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 19.9% 2,812.58 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 3,000 shares
- Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?Yes 24% 143.42 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 39% 1,000 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Yes 25.1% 1,298.1 shares