Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $546.89
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Polymarket Trader
MouthBreather
0xd55333867a11c158026c01e373c4fa8abc9f6af5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.85K
- Realized PnL
- $21.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $108.32
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $66.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.91
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.97
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.68
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.58
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.95
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.33
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.79
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.68
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.89
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 110 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.01
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.85
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.31
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.7% 1,338.02 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 11.9% 1,000 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 91% 22.86 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes 34.7% 132.57 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?Yes 8.8% 101.96 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Yes 25.5% 652.73 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Yes 33.5% 12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 999.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 24.1% 1,799.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 16% 649.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30.3% 1,156.79 shares