Polymarket Trader

halfl2fe

0xd55713a40f60898e93d3d73586332171cc142538

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.2
Realized PnL: -$26.17
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $5.71K
User PnL: -$25.01

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $989.22
Potential profit: $989.22
User PnL: -$142

Yes position

Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $587
Potential profit: $587
User PnL: -$40.58

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $143
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $57
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $30.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69.5
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.29
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$27.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.08
Potential profit: $80.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.64
Potential profit: $76.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.42
Potential profit: $68.42
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 64% 110 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 4% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 12% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 12% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 11% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 28% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 33% 99.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 34% 99.99 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Up 42.6% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 71% 35.21 shares