Alekseinfo

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$19.88

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$71.49

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$48.61

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$61

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$56.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Will Mongolia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will Luxembourg record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$7.88

Yes position

Will Argentina record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$8.19

Yes position

Will Puerto Rico record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$6.68

Yes position

Will Singapore record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$6.08

Yes position

Will Portugal record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will United Arab Emirates record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$6.48

Yes position

Will Malaysia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will Serbia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$4.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 39°C on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601
Potential profit: $601
User PnL: -$11.61

Yes position

Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.37
Potential profit: $259.37
User PnL: -$5.59

Yes position

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.66
Potential profit: $202.66
User PnL: -$31.22

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$22.4

Yes position

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $101.2
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 30°F or higher on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.97
Potential profit: $109.97
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$20.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.27

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.55

Yes position

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.82

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Appalachian State position

Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.6%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Giants position

Giants vs. Raiders

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?