SPDuck

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.78
Potential profit: $137.78
User PnL: -$8.13

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $99.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $15.8

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of April 27 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $18.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $51.45
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$38.65

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $64.29
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $58.5
Potential profit: $58.06
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $49.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of April 27 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $49.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $49.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.55

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 27 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.9
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $40.01
User PnL: -$14.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $38.05
Potential payout: $38.38
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $3.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $32.51
Potential payout: $36.32
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $27.12
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $7.87
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$14.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $22.65
Potential payout: $24.89
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.52

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.95

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.03

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by June 30?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of April 20 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.19

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.72

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.58

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.45

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?