Polymarket Trader

josephcasa75

0xd5744a2da676bf324801fa0d02e435bfc495425d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $706.74
Realized PnL: $30.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$636.85

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$23

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $934.03
Potential profit: $934.03
User PnL: -$359.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $749.99
User PnL: -$379.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.95
Potential profit: $699.95
User PnL: -$224.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.19
Potential profit: $652.19
User PnL: -$16.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627
Potential profit: $627
User PnL: -$335.54

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $339.99
Potential payout: $612.59
Potential profit: $272.6
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$27.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.94
Potential profit: $599.94
User PnL: -$45.99

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $307.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $192.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$149

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$228.93

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$225

Yes position

Bitcoin above $112K on September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$103

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $359
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$225.41

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $393
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $365
User PnL: -$123.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5K

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $953.37

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $915.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $858

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $836.73

Yes position

Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3AM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.21

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $592.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 49% 60 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 46% 60 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1AM ET

Up 44.6% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Down 27% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET

Up 87% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Down 55% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET

Up 40% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 59% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Down 27% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET

Up 76% 220 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 95% 49.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 83% 10 shares