Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $8.11
- User PnL
- -$7.22
Polymarket Trader
xkkjad
0xd57bcdef5b55af01d864def0d830194fbe0ef655
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.79
- Realized PnL
- $22.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.8%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $7.66
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Morocco position
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.4
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $5.69
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Jacob Fearnley position
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 31.6% 7.66 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 35% 7.4 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 22% 7.41 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 23% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 1% 1.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 88% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown 87% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp 87% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETUp 87% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 87% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 88% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown 88% 2 shares