Polymarket Trader

esizb

0xd57e7788a9b74941930470810923d6b53a796a11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $235.41
Realized PnL: -$375.67
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7.58K
User PnL: -$60.64

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $761.15
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$41.92

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $53.7
Potential payout: $223.74
Potential profit: $170.04
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $21.85

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $41.38
Potential payout: $116.57
Potential profit: $75.19
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $72.96
Potential payout: $89.31
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $22.96

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $59.29
Potential payout: $76.5
Potential profit: $17.21
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $41.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.64
Potential profit: $56.64
User PnL: -$30.59

Over position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Over position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.79

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.39

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

No position

Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.22

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Over position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.9

No position

North Korea missile launch by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.07

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$28.35

Yes position

North Korea missile launch by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.81

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.96

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$106.1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$177.97

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$185.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

No 42.9% 116.57 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 41.67 shares
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 56% 89.31 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Over 70% 14.29 shares
Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5

Over 53% 18.87 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5

Over 23% 43.48 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 6.5% 769.23 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 27% 34.68 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 65.5% 34.37 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 6% 467.39 shares