Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $854.64
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$245.36
Polymarket Trader
old-six6
0xd584d667c601c0b137114fbd9232fe9858a68107
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.83K
- Realized PnL
- $3.34K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $933.62
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $286.8
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $216.56
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $39.47
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $486.84
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$60.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $851.97
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $417
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.74
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $216.58
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.4
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.73
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.92
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.73
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.52
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$21.31
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.8% 1,567.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 25% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 769.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62% 1,970.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 48% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 36% 555.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49.5% 1,770.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56% 3,540.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41.1% 2,430.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 30% 600 shares