Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $155.79
- Potential payout
- $23.97K
- Potential profit
- $23.81K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$24.21
Polymarket Trader
LFG24
0xd5869e1f53937b3cff2a643d30a2b22f786208e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.54K
- Realized PnL
- $21.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $156.62
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $11.44K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $858.1
- Potential payout
- $11.44K
- Potential profit
- $10.58K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $50.19
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$149.8
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$502.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$490.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $192.25
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- $42.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$97.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $43.89
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $23.89
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $66.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$33.89
Carano position
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$230
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $974.46
- Potential profit
- $974.46
- User PnL
- -$180
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.13
- Potential profit
- $888.13
- User PnL
- -$208.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $767
- Potential profit
- $767
- User PnL
- -$300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.47
- Potential profit
- $750.47
- User PnL
- -$45.41
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $704.23
- Potential profit
- $704.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $619.69
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.61K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72K
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.62
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12PM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3PM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.79
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $80
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown 18.4% 543.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown 13% 11.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown 4.6% 1,237.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown 5.5% 773.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp 32% 312.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp 33% 303.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown 43.3% 230.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown 39% 160.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown 34.6% 464.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown 16% 625 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown 40.1% 249.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 53% 47.17 shares