No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Geopoliticz
0xd59c099d12a3748542c522230cfadab6ce61bb63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $2.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $7.25K
- User PnL
- -$358.09
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$252
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $947.52
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$6.31
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shots
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $866.67
- Potential profit
- $866.67
- User PnL
- -$130
Mexico position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612.24
- Potential profit
- $612.24
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.53
- Potential profit
- $399.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$22.1
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- User PnL
- -$7.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
France leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.66
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
Belgium position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.2
MIBR position
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.52
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.82
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.47
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.82
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.31
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72
Egypt position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.41
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.65
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
New Zealand position
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Wizards
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
Aleksandar Vukic position
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Clippers
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance42.1% 466.94 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium 47% 500 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance35.9% 546.57 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?21% 465.14 shares
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsYes 15% 200 shares
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsYes 15% 666.67 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners57.1% 864.52 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners37.2% 791.53 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico 49% 612.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp 48% 52.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 61% 40.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 60% 41.67 shares