No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $256.91
- Potential payout
- $828.73
- Potential profit
- $571.82
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$43.09
Polymarket Trader
0xD59F260204d6dA4f82Cde97e225805F5e351ba3C-1767448040015
0xd59f260204d6da4f82cde97e225805f5e351ba3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $644.77
- Realized PnL
- $231.28
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $221.04
- Potential payout
- $228.7
- Potential profit
- $7.66
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.04
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $139.17
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $115.29
- Potential payout
- $115.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $17.12
- Potential payout
- $103.74
- Potential profit
- $86.62
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$12.88
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $6.92
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $83.44
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.17
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $460?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.29
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
Yes position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Aryna Sabalenka position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close at <$600 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.92
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.85
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria KasatkinaAryna Sabalenka 95.9% 104.22 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 86.7% 115.29 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 113.63 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.3% 822.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 40.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.5% 513.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes 28.9% 103.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?Yes 0.2% 272.34 shares
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No 36.2% 828.73 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes 37% 51.33 shares