No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.3K
- Potential profit
- $33.3K
- User PnL
- -$6.09K
Polymarket Trader
mypension
0xd5bb4a1f8dca67de64e00324c723dee90983d51a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $626.04
- Realized PnL
- $1.24K
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $446.64
- Potential payout
- $763.49
- Potential profit
- $316.85
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$53.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $169.4
- Potential payout
- $258.62
- Potential profit
- $89.22
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $19.4
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $123.33
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$90
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.05
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $53.64
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$81.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$181.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 65.5% 763.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 258.62 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes 75% 133.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 8.4% 143.7 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 6.5% 15,368.65 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 69.7% 1,453.05 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 5.7% 929.82 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 20% 5,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 26% 3,846.15 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 84.4% 1,247.2 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 30% 76.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 37.8% 7,938.04 shares