Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $103.72
- Potential profit
- $103.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.95
Polymarket Trader
riesling1984
0xd5c591d0cbb9fc23424425d275c4d5ffa07abdac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.33
- Realized PnL
- $413.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $7.31
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.88
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.2
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.72
KOLESIE position
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
9z position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.94
FC Dallas position
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.64
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.24
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.32
Yes position
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Under position
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
FlyQuest position
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Cleveland Guardians position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Sharks position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
BBL Esports position
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Athletics position
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON 45% 49.96 shares
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON 45% 19.77 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 19% 16.5 shares
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2FlyQuest 47% 27.23 shares
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2TYLOO 99.9% 20.05 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.1% 43.33 shares
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2GamerLegion 51% 15.88 shares
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Monte 36% 13.36 shares
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2TYLOO 38% 20.05 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 95% 6.68 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 12.02 shares
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsDeep Cross Gaming 99.9% 7.44 shares