No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $331.07
- Potential payout
- $761.09
- Potential profit
- $430.02
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$75.94
Polymarket Trader
probablywronglol
0xd5d3fde8ecf9d1c29bf8665a120971330ed8a77b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.64K
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $280.66
- Potential payout
- $359.82
- Potential profit
- $79.16
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $108.94
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.37
- Potential profit
- $257.37
- User PnL
- -$200.72
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $203.83
- Potential payout
- $256.55
- Potential profit
- $52.72
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $35.82
No position
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.58
- Potential profit
- $245.58
- User PnL
- -$190.33
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $197.4
- Potential payout
- $244.61
- Potential profit
- $47.21
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $26.9
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $90.22
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $127.17
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $108.64
- Potential payout
- $215.38
- Potential profit
- $106.74
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
No position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $132.24
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $80.53
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $32.23
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $101.02
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $103.06
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $101
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $97.12
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $95.19
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $108.18
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $73.64
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $113.64
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $68.18
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $143.86
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $31.58
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $43.86
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $146.72
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $17.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $46.72
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $135.39
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $18.46
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $35.39
No position
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $153.85
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $53.85
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $87.88
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $63.64
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$12.12
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $21.32
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $125.74
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$78.68
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $84.56
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$15.44
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.15
- Potential profit
- $146.15
- User PnL
- -$110
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.29
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.36
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.68
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.4
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.48
No position
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.64
No position
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.61
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.87
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.24
No position
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.8
No position
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.5
No position
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.31
No position
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.32
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.65
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.08
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.44
No position
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Score
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 78% 12.82 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 96% 8.99 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 95% 8.99 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 95% 8.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?No 37% 27.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No 94% 5.32 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 7% 307.69 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 52% 9.61 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 73% 22.99 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 86% 2.91 shares
- Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 35% 7.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No 72% 14.58 shares