Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Polymarket Trader
SET-229
0xd5d7272bc3bccaed1180889a54e096e45c215e39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.17
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$22.05
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $973.5
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$31.37
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $51.15
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $14.1
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 4.39x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 3.7% 430 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 16% 25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 8% 36.65 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.9% 1,437 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 1,200 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 0.9% 290 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 0.9% 355 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 7.2% 355 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?Yes 0.7% 83.73 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?Yes 2.1% 999.99 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 3.2% 1,437 shares