tiger555

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $330.75
Potential payout: $44.1K
Potential profit: $43.77K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$37.13

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $348.35
Potential payout: $40.98K
Potential profit: $40.63K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$113.07

Yes position

Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $179.99
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $39.82K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $117.89
Potential payout: $39.3K
Potential profit: $39.18K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$40.04

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $275.94
Potential payout: $36.79K
Potential profit: $36.52K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$44.96

Yes position

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $159.72
Potential payout: $35.49K
Potential profit: $35.33K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$85.15

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $327.67
Potential payout: $34.49K
Potential profit: $34.16K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5.83

Yes position

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $246.36
Potential payout: $32.85K
Potential profit: $32.6K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$13.66

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $300.68
Potential payout: $31.65K
Potential profit: $31.35K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$30.57

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $167.65
Potential payout: $30.48K
Potential profit: $30.31K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$29.23

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $221.85
Potential payout: $29.58K
Potential profit: $29.36K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$12.96

Yes position

Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $128.57
Potential payout: $28.57K
Potential profit: $28.44K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$12.06

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.86K
Potential profit: $27.86K
User PnL: -$130.63

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $92.9
Potential payout: $26.54K
Potential profit: $26.45K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$22.03

Yes position

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $170.84
Potential payout: $26.28K
Potential profit: $26.11K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $196.83
Potential payout: $26.24K
Potential profit: $26.05K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$84.09

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.92K
Potential profit: $25.92K
User PnL: -$107.45

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.94K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.73K
Potential profit: $24.73K
User PnL: -$223.27

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.17K
Potential profit: $24.17K
User PnL: -$51.3

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $146.49
Potential payout: $22.54K
Potential profit: $22.39K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $146.49
Potential payout: $22.54K
Potential profit: $22.39K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $168.54
Potential payout: $22.47K
Potential profit: $22.3K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $155.42
Potential payout: $20.72K
Potential profit: $20.57K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $10.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $880.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.74

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.3

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $327.74

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $274.99

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $252.35

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.55

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.21

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.61

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $193.22

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.85

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.98

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $135.47

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $132.78

No position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $121.04

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.05

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $111.61

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.28

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.21

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $85.7

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?