Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.77
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
lukacarste
0xd600a2ec1b3e8135589e07de8d35fbf8950add43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.38
- Realized PnL
- $134.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 3.35x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $2.42
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 41.2% 2.42 shares
- Will Solana dip to $75 on July 13?Yes 37% 6.66 shares
- Will Solana dip to $75 on July 13?Yes 75% 6.67 shares
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance39.1% 24.81 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 54% 21.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4PM ETDown 68% 7.35 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57.2% 10.48 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 59.8% 16.74 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares