Polymarket Trader

Howardratner66

0xd607432a3b8e5e91fd1d79c53a4735e28c924b09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.29K
Realized PnL: $314.62
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $15.55K
Potential profit: $13.41K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$567.57

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $277.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.72K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$167.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $66.11
Potential payout: $881.46
Potential profit: $815.35
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$333.89

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.97
Potential profit: $727.97
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.65
Potential profit: $580.65
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.73
Potential profit: $522.73
User PnL: -$230

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$128.11

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$83.42

Yes position

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $395.58
Potential payout: $404.69
Potential profit: $9.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $45.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$132

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$127.5

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $216.97
Potential payout: $217.29
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $16.97

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $151
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $85.17
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $16.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $55.17

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $56.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $43.51
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $12.49

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.6
Potential profit: $77.6
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $59.01
Potential profit: $57.33
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$38.32

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $48.06
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.59
Potential profit: $50.59
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.23

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

French election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$35.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 72% 55.56 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Yes 67.8% 59.01 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Yes 85.3% 46.91 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Yes 86.6% 346.54 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?

Yes 45.4% 881.46 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 29.4% 102 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 44% 90.91 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 44% 227.27 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 44% 90.91 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 31% 580.65 shares