Sukuparu

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.58
Potential profit: $151.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $110
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $23.33
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $10

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $99.38
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $24.07
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $106.32
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $8.62
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $112.36
User PnL: -$100

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $112.3
Potential profit: $62.32
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.46
Potential profit: $109.46
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $101.28
Potential payout: $107.07
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $101.75
Potential payout: $104.41
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.34
Potential profit: $104.34
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $100.87
Potential payout: $102.67
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $97.56
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $83.06
Multiplier: 9.71x
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $57.33
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $7.33

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $52.2
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $50.27
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.67

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.45

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.58

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.66

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.19

No position

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.84

No position

Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.13

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

PSG position

Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Macron out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

No position

US national Solana reserve in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

No position

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?