No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $382.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $117.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Polymarket Trader
0xd612eb41C02EE5EcB1c8944dc70B9707FddC8cd0-1781223610320
0xd612eb41c02ee5ecb1c8944dc70b9707fddc8cd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $382.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.14
- Potential profit
- $230.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.19
No position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.21
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.51
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 15% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 18.6% 74.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 15% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 97.7% 392.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 76.5% 130.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 77% 129.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 76% 131.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown 6% 26.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 82% 163.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 56.9% 87.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 65.9% 75.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 79% 6.33 shares