0xd615...ae32

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.85
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$50.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $141.58
Potential payout: $142.08
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $130.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.88
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$66.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $124.5
Potential payout: $124.56
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $81.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $120.71
Potential profit: $120.59
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$52.39

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $119.82
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $114.48
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $114.89
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $104.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $94.91
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $69.93
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.88
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $54.73
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $48.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.67
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$11.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET