No position
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Polymarket Trader
yuguxu
0xd6165d16ff8f1e27103322df1b6f0a012016320d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.78
- Realized PnL
- $121.14
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $2.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.01
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Geek Fam ID position
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 85% 5.88 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?No 89.1% 5.61 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.4% 2.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.4% 2.29 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 2.17 shares
- Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia PlayoffsGeek Fam ID 84% 11.9 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 2.15 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 7.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 5.04 shares