Polymarket Trader

RFK2024

0xd61db8cfea7ce05063740d5f5f50fc1244265446

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $466.18
Realized PnL: $3.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.26K
User PnL: -$270

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $415.27
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $171.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$742.02

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $27.36
Potential payout: $364.84
Potential profit: $337.48
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $8.74

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $134.48
Potential profit: $115.05
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $11.59

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.18
Potential profit: $39.18
User PnL: -$26.05

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $27.91
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $21.92
Potential profit: $18.88
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.39

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.22

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.34

No position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.07

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.18

No position

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.46

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.06

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.4

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.34

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.81

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.55

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.46

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.7%
Multiplier: 3.89x
User PnL: $96.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.83

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.91

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.5

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.99x
User PnL: $69.84

Jones position

Jones vs. Miocic

Ends Nov 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.1

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.41

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.8% 8,756.15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 1,266.5 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.9% 805.78 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 82.8% 966.31 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 84.5% 473.42 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 61% 1,003.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 69.1% 699 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 85% 300 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.9% 1,906.23 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 58% 700 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.5% 3,227.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83% 19.37 shares