Polymarket Trader

GenaTheBondKilIer

@GenaTheCroco

0xd6321c049c527e8a622d6aa35f514ae74f798afb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.16K
Realized PnL: $17.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $66.99
Potential payout: $7.05K
Potential profit: $6.99K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$23.65

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $78.52
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.01K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $29.06

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $348.33

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: $30.62

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $24.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.01

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $365
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$635

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $365
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $635

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $112.33
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$18.84

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $94.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $133.69

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $13.95
User PnL: $295.03

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.2%
Current value: $938.07
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $326.18
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $764.56

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $5.04
User PnL: $47.41

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $690.46
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $691.86
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $694.66
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $45.49
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $654.42
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $35.64

Yes position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $95.19
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $604.72
Multiplier: 7.35x
User PnL: $85.33

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $684.51
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $695.36
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $695.36
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $699.91
Potential profit: $685.21
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $4.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $648.35
Potential payout: $649.97
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: $189.37

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $513.31
Potential payout: $625.99
Potential profit: $112.68
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $97.72

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $599.91
Potential profit: $572.61
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $18.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

China-Vietnam trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $722.61

Yes position

Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.65

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from North America?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.18

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.17

No position

Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.07

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.13

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $463.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.59

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $451.49

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.54

Yes position

Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.26

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.16

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.15

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $376.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $365.6

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.87

No position

Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362

Yes position

Will Unknown’s Mystery Model win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2AM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 93% 25.07 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Yes 1.4% 75.27 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 92.9% 50 shares
Testing Group Event 1

Yes 99% 1.01 shares
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Yes 28.3% 54.01 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

No 64.2% 146.61 shares
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 2.6% 5 shares
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 247.92 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 9.6% 236.03 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.1% 181.94 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.3% 738.65 shares