Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $696.15
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$33.25
Polymarket Trader
0xd636102F6717De87d5feC134901a84e29683C5db-1760813082478
0xd636102f6717de87d5fec134901a84e29683c5db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.85
- Realized PnL
- -$181.55
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $618.47
- Potential profit
- $618.47
- User PnL
- -$18.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.61
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes 3% 618.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 5.3% 700 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 18% 150 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 150.01 shares
- US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes 12% 392.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 2.6% 1,065.22 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 4.4% 1,065.23 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 0.4% 3,652.5 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?Yes 25.6% 285.88 shares
- Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 56.7% 129.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?Yes 25.6% 83.05 shares