No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.91K
- Potential profit
- $86.91K
- User PnL
- -$82.04K
Polymarket Trader
0xd640...480c
0xd640bffba986c2de1a512c0e25a3e37805cd480c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $5.5K
- Realized PnL
- $20.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.49K
- Potential profit
- $86.49K
- User PnL
- -$191.57
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.7K
- Potential profit
- $67.7K
- User PnL
- -$67.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.06K
- Potential profit
- $24.06K
- User PnL
- -$24.06
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.16K
- Potential profit
- $11.16K
- User PnL
- -$341.09
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $349.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- User PnL
- -$442.83
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$407.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$95.69
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$126.1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$109.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$50.42
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$67.49
No position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$468.42
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$106.45
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $27.49
- Potential payout
- $886.83
- Potential profit
- $859.34
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$87.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $869.63
- Potential profit
- $869.63
- User PnL
- -$703.66
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.15
- Potential profit
- $716.15
- User PnL
- -$55.86
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $12.22
- Potential payout
- $678.99
- Potential profit
- $666.77
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$48.89
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $422.32
- Potential payout
- $586.56
- Potential profit
- $164.24
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $533.83
- Potential profit
- $533.83
- User PnL
- -$160.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $495.43
- Potential profit
- $495.43
- User PnL
- -$203.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455.57
- Potential profit
- $455.57
- User PnL
- -$227.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.81
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.15
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.06
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.42
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $277.04
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.13
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.37
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $107.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $103.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.55
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.8
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.07
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.44
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.91
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.38
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $38.54
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.93
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 69% 513.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 16% 391.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.8% 5,164.7 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 0.3% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95.1% 15,765.99 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 0.3% 13,871.46 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 0.2% 67,736.65 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No 84% 36.17 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 2.4% 31 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 80% 170.12 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 79% 74.61 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 67% 279.8 shares