Polymarket Trader

0xd656A2aCF3C41F1D9DdD540632F4Fa85AFAb22aa-1772910570494

0xd656a2acf3c41f1d9ddd540632f4fa85afab22aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.18
Realized PnL: $63.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $21.12
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.78
Potential payout: $10.69
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $5.57
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.43

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 89.8% 2.68 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 37.2% 2.68 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 86% 11.63 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 93.5% 10.69 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

No 72% 6.94 shares
France to score first vs. Morocco?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 99.9% 15.45 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 32.4% 9.26 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 32.3% 6.19 shares