Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.93K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Polymarket Trader
lafuerza
0xd6629d7d90f6228f48585230f60f69c04e7648fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.45K
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $281.35
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$434.18
Yes position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $221.78
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $68.03
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $440.03
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$14.13
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $330.26
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $34.42
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $271.6
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$74.82
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$110.63
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $987.66
- Potential profit
- $987.66
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $641.03
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.07
- Potential profit
- $526.07
- User PnL
- -$73.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $353.64
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.32
Yes position
Will Trump nationalize elections?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$28.37
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$84.14
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$106.81
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$159.8
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$164.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$194.28
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$241.66
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$770.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 471.78 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?Yes 13.5% 671.08 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes 20.9% 577.78 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 2.6% 4,900.64 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 26% 996 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 14.6% 1,895.63 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 28% 1,037.77 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 1,271.91 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 1,917.08 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 29% 975.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 28.3% 900.23 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.4% 3,499.75 shares