Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $645.35
- Potential profit
- $642.45
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $2.26
Polymarket Trader
closethething12
0xd666d37149f40073f7f61fbf92abefed45d80027
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.9
- Realized PnL
- $322.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484.19
- Potential profit
- $484.19
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $444.17
- Potential profit
- $442.17
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Valtteri Bottas achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Lance Stroll achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Arvid Lindblad achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Sergio Perez achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Pierre Gasly achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.77
- Potential profit
- $329.77
- User PnL
- -$11.78
Yes position
Will Liam Lawson achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.06
- Potential profit
- $328.06
- User PnL
- -$11.72
Yes position
Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325.05
- Potential profit
- $325.05
- User PnL
- -$11.61
Yes position
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.12
- Potential profit
- $323.12
- User PnL
- -$11.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Argentina to win the second half?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.68
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $39.04
N
No position
Austria vs. Jordan: Second half draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.21
Y
Yes position
Austria to win the second half?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $13.66
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
Y
Yes position
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $11.51
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Y
Yes position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Second half draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $7.88
N
No position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
N
No position
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $7.27
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
N
No position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $4.67
N
No position
Argentina to win the second half?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Y
Yes position
Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Uruguay?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
N
No position
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
N
No position
Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Y
Yes position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.81
N
No position
Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
N
No position
Argentina leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Y
Yes position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Y
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
N
No position
Germany leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $1.28
N
No position
Norway leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will América FC win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
N
No position
Cyprus leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Y
Yes position
Algeria leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 22?Yes 13% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?No 8% 6.95 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 1.5% 8.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on June 20?Yes 0.3% 5 shares
- Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes 4.4% 18.89 shares
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.2%?Yes 0.3% 11.01 shares
- Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes 4.5% 17.6 shares
- Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes 4.8% 30 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?No 6% 0.36 shares
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 6.28 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?Yes 1.1% 16.66 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?Yes 1% 16.66 shares