No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.86
- Potential profit
- $256.86
- User PnL
- -$6.16
Polymarket Trader
MrPomegranateTrader
0xd66cb0a0fc29ef859cdb89855dcb1b39923ad290
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $937.49
- Realized PnL
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $149.03
- Potential payout
- $227.53
- Potential profit
- $78.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $21.38
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $169.92
- Potential payout
- $170.18
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $112.81
- Potential payout
- $113.49
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $19.07
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $106.95
- Potential payout
- $107.27
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $90.8
- Potential payout
- $91.12
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $24.61
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $81.15
- Potential payout
- $81.93
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- User PnL
- $28.44
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.87
- Potential profit
- $43.87
- User PnL
- -$5.07
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.28
- Potential payout
- $37.34
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $36.08
- Potential payout
- $36.32
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.15
- Potential profit
- $35.15
- User PnL
- -$19.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $33.83
- Potential payout
- $34.29
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $34.07
- Potential profit
- $14.14
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $31.54
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$8.99
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $29.81
- Potential payout
- $30.31
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $27.34
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.49
- Potential profit
- $25.49
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.02
- Potential profit
- $22.02
- User PnL
- -$15.11
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $21.89
- Potential profit
- $21.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- User PnL
- -$7.54
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $9.97
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $7.76
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.85
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.78
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.41
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.19
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.12
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.09
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.38
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.06
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.61
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.85
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.54
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.14
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 42% 6.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94.8% 8 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 86% 26.22 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 74% 20.96 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 80% 19.49 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 75% 19.98 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 75% 8 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 75% 12.98 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 75% 18.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 97.7 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 67% 17.19 shares