Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $29.83
- Potential profit
- $28.14
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Polymarket Trader
0xd66d...0884
0xd66da0c713741ce6872e93aabeb7591c705e0884
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $21.54
- Realized PnL
- $454.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $29.19
- Potential profit
- $27.54
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $25.22
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $19.52
- Potential profit
- $17.13
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $15.42
- Potential payout
- $16.03
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?Yes 5.8% 29.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 4?Yes 3.6% 29.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 4?Yes 4.1% 25.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 4?Yes 20% 9.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 4?Yes 16% 6.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?Yes 11.3% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?Yes 13% 12.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 3?Yes 15% 7 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.4% 19.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 1?Yes 15% 7.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?Yes 1.1% 96.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?Yes 17.1% 6.2 shares