Polymarket Trader

holyshi

0xd67aaf29efcd8cb9f68b55ecaee977881c97661b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $282.57
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.17K
Potential profit: $87.17K
User PnL: -$255.92

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$17.28

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$895.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $905
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670.96
Potential profit: $670.96
User PnL: -$8

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $635.3
Potential profit: $635.3
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $509.46
Potential profit: $499.53
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$7.06

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.36
Potential profit: $240.36
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$48.3

Yes position

Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $173.44
Potential payout: $219.54
Potential profit: $46.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $66.25

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Clippers

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $175.44
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$100.01

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.48
Potential profit: $100.48
User PnL: -$49.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Warriors position

Magic vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.82

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.55

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $11.17

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.82

Mavericks position

Warriors vs. Mavericks

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.11

Yes position

Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-12-23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.57

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 2% 30.92 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 75% 30.92 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 23.4 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 72% 23.4 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 99% 17.17 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 69% 17.17 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 99% 11.94 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 67% 11.94 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 99% 8.32 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 61% 8.33 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 6% 86.16 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 55% 86.16 shares