Polymarket Trader

onrightpath

0xd67cd300ca5b2fc3a9fc14e59762aa8aaddd9df2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $457.19
Realized PnL: $174.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $172.57
Potential payout: $204.34
Potential profit: $31.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$12.16

Yes position

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $189.76
Potential payout: $200.59
Potential profit: $10.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$10.48

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $94.86
Potential payout: $96.75
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.45

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Yes 99.9% 48.01 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.6% 199.61 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.4% 204.34 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

No 95.6% 96.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 99.5% 232.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 99.9% 460.5 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?

No 99.7% 451.79 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.7% 449.53 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Yes 99.7% 76.71 shares
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

No 98.6% 286.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 98.8% 137.65 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 94.1% 1.05 shares