Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xd67D1F0f0FA892CB4B94f3dBb7AfB909Da7A5aBc-1769613235201
0xd67d1f0f0fa892cb4b94f3dbb7afb909da7a5abc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $726.47
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $726.47
- Potential payout
- $757.13
- Potential profit
- $30.66
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.99
- Potential profit
- $189.99
- User PnL
- -$10.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.63
- Potential profit
- $180.63
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.26
- Potential profit
- $160.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.56
- Potential profit
- $157.56
- User PnL
- -$76.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.08
- Potential profit
- $104.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.04
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.63
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95.4% 757.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 90.4% 800 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 1,627.91 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 54.3% 112.97 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 52.6% 30.03 shares
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes 65% 149.7 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 70% 116.41 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 99.9% 511.3 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.6% 70 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 2.9% 70 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 2.8% 2,730.56 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 2.7% 1,210.56 shares