Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $92.11
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Polymarket Trader
pinheiro12
0xd67f8a9d4d001a3d52f3d3f7417a394d11c6d9b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.97K
- Realized PnL
- $156.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $73.53
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$26.47
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $208.72
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $864.41
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $214.08
- Potential payout
- $945.16
- Potential profit
- $731.08
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$19.87
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $185.26
- Potential payout
- $544.88
- Potential profit
- $359.62
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$14.74
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $396.8
- Potential payout
- $466.82
- Potential profit
- $70.02
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $414.01
- Potential payout
- $462.58
- Potential profit
- $48.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $14.01
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $402.22
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $42.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.22
Y
Yes position
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $148.1
- Potential payout
- $253.16
- Potential profit
- $105.06
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$51.9
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $190.97
- Potential payout
- $252.94
- Potential profit
- $61.97
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$9.03
No position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $197.7
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $212.04
- Potential payout
- $224.38
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or higher on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $219.75
- Potential payout
- $220.53
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200.26
- Potential payout
- $200.36
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $113
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $97.87
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $42.97
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $97.92
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $40.97
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $39.86
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $95.27
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$10.14
No position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $95.39
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $36.18
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $99.42
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $16.86
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $99.67
- Potential payout
- $105.48
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $98.95
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $47.77
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $41.52
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $49.65
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $31.53
N
No position
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $19.08
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.86
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.83
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.96
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.01
N
No position
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
N
No position
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 89% 18.92 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 91.9% 196.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or higher on June 25?No 99.8% 100.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or higher on June 25?No 99.7% 20.06 shares
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No 95% 106.38 shares
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 84.3% 259.78 shares
- Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 81% 130.55 shares
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 91% 22.34 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 10.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C on June 25?No 99.8% 30.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C on June 25?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C on June 25?No 99.8% 20.04 shares