Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $28.57
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $328.57
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$196.43
Polymarket Trader
Virtual
0xd68640d69c26133f8992454bdcdb6735d2beb651
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.37
- Realized PnL
- $2.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $129.79
- Potential payout
- $291.67
- Potential profit
- $161.88
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $59.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.38
- Potential profit
- $218.38
- User PnL
- -$30.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99
- Potential profit
- $99
- User PnL
- -$45.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.97
- Potential profit
- $93.97
- User PnL
- -$43.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.93
- Potential profit
- $73.93
- User PnL
- -$39.92
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$36.83
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.07
- Potential profit
- $64.07
- User PnL
- -$28.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.09
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- User PnL
- -$31.71
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.2
- Potential profit
- $54.2
- User PnL
- -$27.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.69
- Potential profit
- $50.69
- User PnL
- -$17.95
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.26
- Potential profit
- $49.26
- User PnL
- -$27.53
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.23
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- User PnL
- -$26.78
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.61
- Potential profit
- $29.61
- User PnL
- -$15.3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.54
- Potential profit
- $29.54
- User PnL
- -$15.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- User PnL
- -$14.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.73
- Potential profit
- $19.73
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.72
- Potential profit
- $19.72
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$10.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$10.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$10.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$10.24
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$10.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.88
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 5AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.53
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.45
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.08
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.32
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.74
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.81
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.68
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 16, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.19
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.66
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 8PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.22
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.58
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.99
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.41
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.17
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 63% 39.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 22.1% 541.66 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 833.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 63% 317.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp 56% 4.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown 71% 4.95 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp 54% 4.92 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown 77% 4.96 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp 53% 4.92 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp 53% 4.92 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown 73% 4.95 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp 53% 4.92 shares