Polymarket Trader

Kocen

0xd687ffa49f023c598cb74dc20a3b3cf7b1c86895

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.97
Realized PnL: $10.1
Win rate: 31.6%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $105.42
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$15

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.09
Potential profit: $27.09
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $25.97
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.32
Potential profit: $23.32
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.3%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $19.42
Potential profit: $9.64
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.75
Potential profit: $16.75
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $15.33
Potential profit: $13.84
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will "Rudo (Gachiakuta)" win Best Anime Main Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.06
Potential profit: $9.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Military" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$3.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Low Energy" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.92

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?

Yes 42% 9.52 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?

Yes 29% 16.26 shares
Will "Rudo (Gachiakuta)" win Best Anime Main Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Yes 11% 9.06 shares
Will "Military" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)

Yes 53% 7.26 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

No 10% 10 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

Yes 19.6% 15.33 shares
Will Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)

Yes 19% 10.53 shares