Polymarket Trader

0xd68936A8C04a7511f21842A55906e61315113002-1758252038776

0xd68936a8c04a7511f21842a55906e61315113002

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.78
Realized PnL: $2.21
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $16.88
Multiplier: 7.19x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $10.22
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $10.95
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $4.26
User PnL: -$2.04

No position

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Obama federally charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 48% 4.25 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 30% 3.96 shares
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,100 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 50.4% 3.97 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 52% 3.12 shares
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 87% 2.3 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 59% 1.69 shares
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 10.87 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 10.2% 19.61 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.2% 11.63 shares