Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$14.97
Polymarket Trader
arotobo
0xd6a512d9dade3940357906ee5c6ade8f7bbb311f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123.45
- Realized PnL
- -$3.22K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $11.72
- Potential payout
- $18.31
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $15.59
- Potential profit
- $10.37
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.49
- Potential payout
- $15.5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.73
- Potential profit
- $12.73
- User PnL
- -$9.98
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $11.54
- Potential payout
- $11.6
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $10.85
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.07
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $8.32
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $8.05
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $7.92
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $7.92
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.56
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $7.45
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $7.34
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $7.34
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.23
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.21
No position
Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
Will RFK Jr. get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$302.9
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?No 62% 8.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?No 66% 7.56 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?No 46% 10.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?No 66% 7.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 9?No 85% 5.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?No 77.2% 6.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?No 69% 7.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?No 60% 8.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?No 54% 9.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?No 66.9% 7.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?No 63% 7.92 shares