Polymarket Trader

Marsache

0xd6bee3372a632e19d8c7dfc5985b720c286fa543

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.5K
Realized PnL: $4.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$1.41K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $39.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.85

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $496.21
Potential payout: $757.58
Potential profit: $261.36
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$3.79

Magic position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $707.86
Potential profit: $707.86
User PnL: -$495.5

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.6
Potential profit: $595.6
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.18
Potential profit: $522.18
User PnL: -$500

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$100

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.6
Potential profit: $402.6
User PnL: -$310

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.79
Potential profit: $286.79
User PnL: -$48.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$98.52

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.72
Potential profit: $149.72
User PnL: -$46.41

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$100

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.92
Potential profit: $74.92
User PnL: -$9.74

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.45

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.07

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.91

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.56

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.52

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.39

No position

Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.45

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.03

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.64

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.48

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.24

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.67

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.81

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.55

Yes position

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.32

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.84

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.41

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.82

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.53

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.33

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66% 757.58 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.5% 1,047.12 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85.6% 1,635.51 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.8% 5,112.47 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.2% 3,397.03 shares
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 99.6% 5,017.6 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 88.8% 243.18 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 65% 1,315.78 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 38% 1,315.79 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 56.1% 1,818.89 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 92.6% 539.96 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 58% 862.07 shares