Y
Yes position
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?
Ends Jul 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $65.25
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Polymarket Trader
crataem
0xd6bf8187816aea47e5a1dfa07c7c983462ea3387
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.75
- Realized PnL
- $108.82
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will SBF tweet again by Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Solana above $200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Dvalishvili position
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Abstract token launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Nuggets position
Spurs vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Solana above $150 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
XRP all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Hyperunit backed by Paradigm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?No 67% 10.45 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?No 63% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?Yes 38% 52.63 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?No 43.7% 63.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?No 70% 6.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 25?Yes 26% 6.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 22?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?Yes 18% 14.86 shares
- Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes 22% 11.27 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?No 5% 14.38 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?No 11% 55 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?No 21% 0.73 shares